The New England Patriots are a absolute 7-0 beeline up and 6-1 adjoin the advance while hosting teams from the AFC West, and the Oakland Raiders are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS the aftermost four times visiting the AFC East.
In the bigger advance conflict of this division so far, the 1-1 Patriots host the 0-2 Raiders on Sunday afternoon in Foxborough.
But beware the Pats in the role of big chalk. Since 2007, they accept been advantaged by two touchdowns or added 14 times and covered the advance alone three times (3-11 ATS).
Point spread: The Patriots opened as 14.5-point favorites, and the cardinal was aggressive in mid-week wagering monitored by Allowance Shark; the absolute was 46.5 (line updates and antagonism report).
Odds Shark computer prediction: 34.5-16.5 Patriots
Why the Raiders can awning the spread
The Raiders haven't looked too acceptable in accident their aboriginal two amateur with amateur Derek Carr at quarterback, but hey, things can alone get better, right? Oakland absolutely pulled off a backdoor awning in its division opener on the East Coast, scoring a backward touchdown to lose to the Jets 19-14 as six-point dogs.
Last anniversary the Raiders absent at home to Houston 30-14, although that bold ability accept been a little afterpiece had advanced receiver James Jones not fumbled at the Texans 3-yard band aloof afore halftime. Carr has hit on 64 percent of his throws, but he could use a little advice from the active game, which, afterwards averaging 125 yards per bold aftermost year, has produced aloof 126 yards through two amateur this season.
Why the Patriots can awning the spread
The Patriots bounced aback afterwards an opening-weekend accident at Miami to exhausted the Vikings in Minneapolis aftermost anniversary 30-7. New England outrushed Minnesota 150-54, captivated the brawl for about 32 minutes, best off Vikings quarterback Matt Cassel four times and alternate a blocked acreage ambition for a touchdown.
That's how you awning a advance as a alley favorite. Tom Brady alone threw the brawl 22 times adjoin Minnesota, but he didn't charge to do a accomplished lot, as the Patriots put on a nice aggregation effort.
New England now gets a adventitious at an accessible achievement in its home opener adjoin the hapless Raiders. But alienated the backdoor awning ability not be easy, accustomed New England's coarse history with big spreads.
Smart Pick
New England has won the aftermost three affairs with Oakland by an boilerplate account of 37-22, and while the Patriots ability hit 37 credibility Sunday, the Raiders ability be hard-pressed to appear up with 22.
Brady and New England won't charge the constrict aphorism this time around. The computer aces actuality is with the Patriots, bare the points.
Trends
- Patriots are 3-11 ATS in the accomplished 14 amateur as book of 14 credibility or more.
- Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its aftermost bristles amateur back arena New England.
Note: All advance and allowance abstracts powered by Allowance Shark. Follow us on Twitter for abrasion updates and band move updates.